H1 2026 report
Zysk netto grupy (przypadający akcjonariuszom jednostki dominującej) rośnie o 56% r/r do 1 323 mln zł w I półroczu 2026 r., ale znaczna część poprawy pochodzi z efektów nieoperacyjnych: zaniku przychodów z Funduszu Wypłaty Różnicy Ceny i rozwiązania rezerwy na kontrakty rodzące obciążenia w segmencie Detal.
Sentiment
Neutral
No guidance change
ENG
H1 2026 report
Revenue
11.2 bn PLN
— YoY
Net income
1.32 bn PLN
— YoY
EBITDA
2.72 bn PLN
— YoY
Net debt / EBITDA
2.61x
— YoY
Summary
Investment thesis
- Segment Energetyka Zawodowa (wytwarzanie konwencjonalne) traci rentowność: EBITDA spadła o 76% r/r do 32 mln zł z powodu niższych cen/wolumenu energii z elektrowni w Ostrołęce, kar za opóźnienia CCGT na Rynku Mocy oraz wyższych kosztów uprawnień do emisji CO2.
- Przepływy operacyjne (1 766 mln zł) są niższe r/r (2 731 mln zł) mimo wyższego zysku i EBITDA — jakość zysku w ujęciu gotówkowym pogorszyła się, a wolne przepływy pieniężne są ujemne (ok. -568 mln zł) z powodu dużego programu inwestycyjnego.
- Emisja akcji serii CC o wartości 5,1 mld zł (środki wpłynęły 3 lipca 2026 r., po dniu bilansowym) istotnie wzmacnia bilans i zwiększa udział ORLEN S.A. w kapitale do 95,24% (96,06% głosów) — free float praktycznie znika.
- Wskaźnik dług netto/EBITDA poprawił się do 2,61x z 2,86x mimo dużego CAPEX-u, wspartego preferencyjną pożyczką z KPO (do 9,4 mld zł na rozwój sieci dystrybucyjnej).
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Financials
BETA
ENG · H1 2026
| Metric | H1 2026 | H1 2025 | Δ YoY | YTD 2026 | Δ YoY | Value type | Segment | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4,900 | 21,138 | −76.8% | 11,198 | −47% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA | 1,190 | 3,601 | −67% | 2,719 | −24.5% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT | 817 | 2,224 | −63.3% | 1,958 | −12% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT | 704 | 1,474 | −52.2% | 1,661 | +12.7% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income | 545 | 1,243 | −56.2% | 1,323 | +6.4% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Interest expense | 119 | 838 | −85.8% | 303 | −63.8% | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Income tax | 164 | 227 | −27.8% | 342 | +50.7% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin | 24.29% | 17.04% | +7.3 pp | 24.28% | +7.2 pp | derived | — | 0.80 |
| EBIT margin | 16.67% | 10.52% | +6.2 pp | 17.48% | +7 pp | derived | — | 0.80 |
| EBT margin | 14.37% | 6.97% | +7.4 pp | 14.83% | +7.9 pp | derived | — | 0.80 |
| Net margin | 11.12% | 5.88% | +5.2 pp | 11.81% | +5.9 pp | derived | — | 0.80 |
| Cash | 828 | 1,174 | −29.5% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total debt | 18,118 | 14,647 | +23.7% | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Net debt | 15,050 | 13,473 | +11.7% | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Equity | 15,024 | 13,716 | +9.5% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total assets | 41,168 | 40,269 | +2.2% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current assets | 7,035 | 7,008 | +0.4% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current liabilities | 11,283 | 9,638 | +17.1% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Non-current liabilities | 14,861 | 16,915 | −12.1% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Inventory | 206 | 194 | +6.2% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Trade receivables | 2,888 | 3,077 | −6.1% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Trade payables | 1,234 | 1,510 | −18.3% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Goodwill | 612 | 1,600 | −61.8% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CFO | 1,766 | 5,243 | −66.3% | 1,766 | −66.3% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CapEx | 2,334 | 5,397 | −56.8% | 2,334 | −56.8% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| FCF | -568 | -154 | −268.8% | -568 | −268.8% | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Current ratio | 0.6x | 0.73x | −0.13x | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 2.61x | 3.74x | −1.13x | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Debt / equity | 1.21x | 1.07x | +0.14x | — | — | derived | — | 0.80 |
| Debt / assets | 0.44x | 0.36x | +0.08x | — | — | derived | — | 0.80 |
| Net debt / equity | 1x | 0.98x | +0.02x | — | — | derived | — | 0.80 |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -1.45% | 1.2% | — | 2.66% | — | derived | — | 0.80 |
| EBITDA growth (YoY) | 17.82% | 4.86% | — | 25.07% | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBIT growth (YoY) | 26.08% | 46.22% | — | 33.74% | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net income growth (YoY) | 53.09% | 230.59% | — | 56.01% | — | derived | — | 0.80 |
H1 2026 · Δ YoY
Revenue
4,900
−76.8%
4,900
−76.8%
- H1 2025
- 21,138
- YTD 2026
- 11,198
- Δ YoY
- −47%
EBITDA
1,190
−67%
1,190
−67%
- H1 2025
- 3,601
- YTD 2026
- 2,719
- Δ YoY
- −24.5%
EBIT
817
−63.3%
817
−63.3%
- H1 2025
- 2,224
- YTD 2026
- 1,958
- Δ YoY
- −12%
EBT
704
−52.2%
704
−52.2%
- H1 2025
- 1,474
- YTD 2026
- 1,661
- Δ YoY
- +12.7%
Net income
545
−56.2%
545
−56.2%
- H1 2025
- 1,243
- YTD 2026
- 1,323
- Δ YoY
- +6.4%
Interest expense
119
−85.8%
119
−85.8%
- H1 2025
- 838
- YTD 2026
- 303
- Δ YoY
- −63.8%
Income tax
164
−27.8%
164
−27.8%
- H1 2025
- 227
- YTD 2026
- 342
- Δ YoY
- +50.7%
EBITDA margin
24.29%
+7.3 pp
24.29%
+7.3 pp
- H1 2025
- 17.04%
- YTD 2026
- 24.28%
- Δ YoY
- +7.2 pp
EBIT margin
16.67%
+6.2 pp
16.67%
+6.2 pp
- H1 2025
- 10.52%
- YTD 2026
- 17.48%
- Δ YoY
- +7 pp
EBT margin
14.37%
+7.4 pp
14.37%
+7.4 pp
- H1 2025
- 6.97%
- YTD 2026
- 14.83%
- Δ YoY
- +7.9 pp
Net margin
11.12%
+5.2 pp
11.12%
+5.2 pp
- H1 2025
- 5.88%
- YTD 2026
- 11.81%
- Δ YoY
- +5.9 pp
Cash
828
−29.5%
828
−29.5%
- H1 2025
- 1,174
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Total debt
18,118
+23.7%
18,118
+23.7%
- H1 2025
- 14,647
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt
15,050
+11.7%
15,050
+11.7%
- H1 2025
- 13,473
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Equity
15,024
+9.5%
15,024
+9.5%
- H1 2025
- 13,716
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Total assets
41,168
+2.2%
41,168
+2.2%
- H1 2025
- 40,269
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Current assets
7,035
+0.4%
7,035
+0.4%
- H1 2025
- 7,008
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Current liabilities
11,283
+17.1%
11,283
+17.1%
- H1 2025
- 9,638
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Non-current liabilities
14,861
−12.1%
14,861
−12.1%
- H1 2025
- 16,915
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Inventory
206
+6.2%
206
+6.2%
- H1 2025
- 194
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Trade receivables
2,888
−6.1%
2,888
−6.1%
- H1 2025
- 3,077
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Trade payables
1,234
−18.3%
1,234
−18.3%
- H1 2025
- 1,510
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Goodwill
612
−61.8%
612
−61.8%
- H1 2025
- 1,600
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
CFO
1,766
−66.3%
1,766
−66.3%
- H1 2025
- 5,243
- YTD 2026
- 1,766
- Δ YoY
- −66.3%
CapEx
2,334
−56.8%
2,334
−56.8%
- H1 2025
- 5,397
- YTD 2026
- 2,334
- Δ YoY
- −56.8%
FCF
-568
−268.8%
-568
−268.8%
- H1 2025
- -154
- YTD 2026
- -568
- Δ YoY
- −268.8%
Current ratio
0.6x
−0.13x
0.6x
−0.13x
- H1 2025
- 0.73x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt / EBITDA
2.61x
−1.13x
2.61x
−1.13x
- H1 2025
- 3.74x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Debt / equity
1.21x
+0.14x
1.21x
+0.14x
- H1 2025
- 1.07x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Debt / assets
0.44x
+0.08x
0.44x
+0.08x
- H1 2025
- 0.36x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt / equity
1x
+0.02x
1x
+0.02x
- H1 2025
- 0.98x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.45%
—
-1.45%
—
- H1 2025
- 1.2%
- YTD 2026
- 2.66%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA growth (YoY)
17.82%
—
17.82%
—
- H1 2025
- 4.86%
- YTD 2026
- 25.07%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBIT growth (YoY)
26.08%
—
26.08%
—
- H1 2025
- 46.22%
- YTD 2026
- 33.74%
- Δ YoY
- —
Net income growth (YoY)
53.09%
—
53.09%
—
- H1 2025
- 230.59%
- YTD 2026
- 56.01%
- Δ YoY
- —