H1 2026 report
Rekordowe I półrocze 2026 (zysk netto +182% r/r, EBITDA +72% r/r) jest w ok. 75% efektem czynników makroekonomicznych (eskalacja wojny na Bliskim Wschodzie windująca notowania ropy i produktów rafineryjnych), a nie strukturalnej poprawy efektywności - trwałość wyniku jest niepewna.
Sentiment
Neutral
No guidance change
PKN
H1 2026 report
Revenue
152,240 m PLN
— YoY
Net income
15,759 m PLN
— YoY
EBITDA
28,726 m PLN
— YoY
Gross margin
24.17%
— YoY
Summary
Investment thesis
- Segment Downstream przeszedł z ujemnej EBITDA (H1 2025) do rekordowego wyniku, ale wyłącznie dzięki rafinerii - część petrochemiczna (ORLEN/S54, Unipetrol, Anwil) pozostaje strukturalnie nierentowna i wciąż wymaga odpisów aktualizujących.
- Mimo rekordowego zysku netto, wolne przepływy pieniężne spadły o ok. 25% r/r, a dług netto wzrósł o ok. 60% w pół roku wskutek jednoczesnego finansowania CAPEX, dywidendy i dopłaty 5,1 mld PLN do nowej emisji akcji Energa.
- Przejęcie Grupa Azoty Polyolefins (GAP) uzyskało komplet zgód regulacyjnych i zbliża się do finalizacji, ale toczy się spór arbitrażowy z LyondellBasell dotyczący zobowiązań z umowy joint-venture powiązanej z tą transakcją.
- Struktura bilansu pozostaje konserwatywna (dług netto/kapitał własny ~0,12x, płynność bieżąca 1,35x) mimo wzrostu zadłużenia, a Grupa zdywersyfikowała finansowanie o zieloną emisję obligacji 750 mln EUR po dniu bilansowym.
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Financials
BETA
PKN · H1 2026
| Metric | H1 2026 | H1 2025 | Δ YoY | YTD 2026 | Δ YoY | Value type | Segment | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 152,240 | 267,827 | −43.2% | 152,240 | −43.2% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Gross profit | 36,791 | — | — | 36,791 | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA | 28,726 | 24,200 | +18.7% | 28,726 | +18.7% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT | 22,180 | 9,957 | +122.8% | 22,180 | +122.8% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT | 21,500 | 9,013 | +138.5% | 21,500 | +138.5% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income | 15,759 | 2,531 | +522.6% | 15,759 | +522.6% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (basic) (PLN) | 13.57 | 2.18 | — | 13.57 | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (diluted) (PLN) | 13.57 | — | — | 13.57 | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| D&A | 6,546 | 14,243 | −54% | 6,546 | −54% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Interest expense | 1,843 | 1,469 | +25.5% | 1,843 | +25.5% | reported | — | 0.85 |
| Shares (basic) (m units) | 1,160.94 | — | — | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Shares (diluted) (m units) | 1,160.94 | — | — | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Gross margin | 24.17% | — | — | 24.17% | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin | 18.87% | 9.04% | +9.8 pp | 18.87% | +9.8 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin | 14.57% | 3.72% | +10.9 pp | 14.57% | +10.9 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBT margin | 14.12% | 3.37% | +10.8 pp | 14.12% | +10.8 pp | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net margin | 10.35% | 0.94% | +9.4 pp | 10.35% | +9.4 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| D&A margin | 4.3% | 5.32% | −1 pp | 4.3% | −1 pp | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Cash | 22,693 | 26,445 | −14.2% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total debt | 40,742 | 25,164 | +61.9% | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Net debt | 18,049 | -1,411 | +1379.2% | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Equity | 148,002 | 143,617 | +3.1% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total assets | 280,645 | 265,048 | +5.9% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Working capital | 23,516 | 20,169 | +16.6% | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Current assets | 90,331 | 80,341 | +12.4% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current liabilities | 66,815 | 60,172 | +11% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Goodwill | 7,903 | — | — | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Tangible equity | 140,099 | — | — | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| CFO | 23,680 | 47,220 | −49.9% | 23,680 | −49.9% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CapEx | 13,823 | 26,931 | −48.7% | 13,823 | −48.7% | reported | — | 0.95 |
| FCF | 9,857 | 20,289 | −51.4% | 9,857 | −51.4% | derived | — | 0.90 |
| FCF conversion | 34.31% | — | — | 34.31% | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| CFO conversion | 82.44% | — | — | 82.44% | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Dividends paid | 9,288 | 6,967 | +33.3% | 9,288 | +33.3% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current ratio | 1.35x | 1.3x | +0.05x | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Quick ratio | 0.98x | 1x | −0.02x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Cash ratio | 0.34x | 0.44x | −0.1x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Debt / equity | 0.28x | 0.18x | +0.1x | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Debt / assets | 0.15x | 0.09x | +0.06x | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Net debt / equity | 0.12x | -10000x | +10000.12x | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.24% | -9180000% | — | 13.24% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA growth (YoY) | 72.17% | 2020000% | — | 72.17% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT growth (YoY) | 125.25% | 2580000% | — | 125.25% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income growth (YoY) | 182.05% | -10440000% | — | 182.05% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 182.12% | -10290000% | — | 182.12% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| FCF growth (YoY) | -24.76% | — | — | -24.76% | — | reported | — | 0.85 |
| Gross margin Δ (YoY) | 7.35 pp | — | — | 7.35 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin Δ (YoY) | 6.46 pp | 0.99 pp | — | 6.46 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin Δ (YoY) | 7.24 pp | 0.42 pp | — | 7.24 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net margin Δ (YoY) | 6.19 pp | -0.01 pp | — | 6.19 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
H1 2026 · Δ YoY
Revenue
152,240
−43.2%
152,240
−43.2%
- H1 2025
- 267,827
- YTD 2026
- 152,240
- Δ YoY
- −43.2%
Gross profit
36,791
—
36,791
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- 36,791
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA
28,726
+18.7%
28,726
+18.7%
- H1 2025
- 24,200
- YTD 2026
- 28,726
- Δ YoY
- +18.7%
EBIT
22,180
+122.8%
22,180
+122.8%
- H1 2025
- 9,957
- YTD 2026
- 22,180
- Δ YoY
- +122.8%
EBT
21,500
+138.5%
21,500
+138.5%
- H1 2025
- 9,013
- YTD 2026
- 21,500
- Δ YoY
- +138.5%
Net income
15,759
+522.6%
15,759
+522.6%
- H1 2025
- 2,531
- YTD 2026
- 15,759
- Δ YoY
- +522.6%
EPS (basic)
(PLN)
13.57
—
13.57
—
- H1 2025
- 2.18
- YTD 2026
- 13.57
- Δ YoY
- —
EPS (diluted)
(PLN)
13.57
—
13.57
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- 13.57
- Δ YoY
- —
D&A
6,546
−54%
6,546
−54%
- H1 2025
- 14,243
- YTD 2026
- 6,546
- Δ YoY
- −54%
Interest expense
1,843
+25.5%
1,843
+25.5%
- H1 2025
- 1,469
- YTD 2026
- 1,843
- Δ YoY
- +25.5%
Shares (basic)
(m units)
1,160.94
—
1,160.94
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Shares (diluted)
(m units)
1,160.94
—
1,160.94
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Gross margin
24.17%
—
24.17%
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- 24.17%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA margin
18.87%
+9.8 pp
18.87%
+9.8 pp
- H1 2025
- 9.04%
- YTD 2026
- 18.87%
- Δ YoY
- +9.8 pp
EBIT margin
14.57%
+10.9 pp
14.57%
+10.9 pp
- H1 2025
- 3.72%
- YTD 2026
- 14.57%
- Δ YoY
- +10.9 pp
EBT margin
14.12%
+10.8 pp
14.12%
+10.8 pp
- H1 2025
- 3.37%
- YTD 2026
- 14.12%
- Δ YoY
- +10.8 pp
Net margin
10.35%
+9.4 pp
10.35%
+9.4 pp
- H1 2025
- 0.94%
- YTD 2026
- 10.35%
- Δ YoY
- +9.4 pp
D&A margin
4.3%
−1 pp
4.3%
−1 pp
- H1 2025
- 5.32%
- YTD 2026
- 4.3%
- Δ YoY
- −1 pp
Cash
22,693
−14.2%
22,693
−14.2%
- H1 2025
- 26,445
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Total debt
40,742
+61.9%
40,742
+61.9%
- H1 2025
- 25,164
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt
18,049
+1379.2%
18,049
+1379.2%
- H1 2025
- -1,411
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Equity
148,002
+3.1%
148,002
+3.1%
- H1 2025
- 143,617
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Total assets
280,645
+5.9%
280,645
+5.9%
- H1 2025
- 265,048
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Working capital
23,516
+16.6%
23,516
+16.6%
- H1 2025
- 20,169
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Current assets
90,331
+12.4%
90,331
+12.4%
- H1 2025
- 80,341
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Current liabilities
66,815
+11%
66,815
+11%
- H1 2025
- 60,172
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Goodwill
7,903
—
7,903
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Tangible equity
140,099
—
140,099
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
CFO
23,680
−49.9%
23,680
−49.9%
- H1 2025
- 47,220
- YTD 2026
- 23,680
- Δ YoY
- −49.9%
CapEx
13,823
−48.7%
13,823
−48.7%
- H1 2025
- 26,931
- YTD 2026
- 13,823
- Δ YoY
- −48.7%
FCF
9,857
−51.4%
9,857
−51.4%
- H1 2025
- 20,289
- YTD 2026
- 9,857
- Δ YoY
- −51.4%
FCF conversion
34.31%
—
34.31%
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- 34.31%
- Δ YoY
- —
CFO conversion
82.44%
—
82.44%
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- 82.44%
- Δ YoY
- —
Dividends paid
9,288
+33.3%
9,288
+33.3%
- H1 2025
- 6,967
- YTD 2026
- 9,288
- Δ YoY
- +33.3%
Current ratio
1.35x
+0.05x
1.35x
+0.05x
- H1 2025
- 1.3x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Quick ratio
0.98x
−0.02x
0.98x
−0.02x
- H1 2025
- 1x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Cash ratio
0.34x
−0.1x
0.34x
−0.1x
- H1 2025
- 0.44x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Debt / equity
0.28x
+0.1x
0.28x
+0.1x
- H1 2025
- 0.18x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Debt / assets
0.15x
+0.06x
0.15x
+0.06x
- H1 2025
- 0.09x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt / equity
0.12x
+10000.12x
0.12x
+10000.12x
- H1 2025
- -10000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.24%
—
13.24%
—
- H1 2025
- -9180000%
- YTD 2026
- 13.24%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA growth (YoY)
72.17%
—
72.17%
—
- H1 2025
- 2020000%
- YTD 2026
- 72.17%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBIT growth (YoY)
125.25%
—
125.25%
—
- H1 2025
- 2580000%
- YTD 2026
- 125.25%
- Δ YoY
- —
Net income growth (YoY)
182.05%
—
182.05%
—
- H1 2025
- -10440000%
- YTD 2026
- 182.05%
- Δ YoY
- —
EPS growth (YoY)
182.12%
—
182.12%
—
- H1 2025
- -10290000%
- YTD 2026
- 182.12%
- Δ YoY
- —
FCF growth (YoY)
-24.76%
—
-24.76%
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- -24.76%
- Δ YoY
- —
Gross margin Δ (YoY)
7.35 pp
—
7.35 pp
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- 7.35 pp
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA margin Δ (YoY)
6.46 pp
—
6.46 pp
—
- H1 2025
- 0.99 pp
- YTD 2026
- 6.46 pp
- Δ YoY
- —
EBIT margin Δ (YoY)
7.24 pp
—
7.24 pp
—
- H1 2025
- 0.42 pp
- YTD 2026
- 7.24 pp
- Δ YoY
- —
Net margin Δ (YoY)
6.19 pp
—
6.19 pp
—
- H1 2025
- -0.01 pp
- YTD 2026
- 6.19 pp
- Δ YoY
- —