H1 2026 report
Rekordowe I półrocze 2026 (zysk netto +182% r/r, EBITDA +72% r/r) jest w ok. 75% efektem czynników makroekonomicznych (eskalacja wojny na Bliskim Wschodzie windująca notowania ropy i produktów rafineryjnych), a nie strukturalnej poprawy efektywności - trwałość wyniku jest niepewna.
Sentiment
Neutral
No guidance change
PKN
H1 2026 report
Revenue
152.24 bn PLN
— YoY
Net income
15.76 bn PLN
— YoY
EBITDA
28.73 bn PLN
— YoY
Gross margin
24.17%
— YoY
Summary
Investment thesis
- Segment Downstream przeszedł z ujemnej EBITDA (H1 2025) do rekordowego wyniku, ale wyłącznie dzięki rafinerii - część petrochemiczna (ORLEN/S54, Unipetrol, Anwil) pozostaje strukturalnie nierentowna i wciąż wymaga odpisów aktualizujących.
- Mimo rekordowego zysku netto, wolne przepływy pieniężne spadły o ok. 25% r/r, a dług netto wzrósł o ok. 60% w pół roku wskutek jednoczesnego finansowania CAPEX, dywidendy i dopłaty 5,1 mld PLN do nowej emisji akcji Energa.
- Przejęcie Grupa Azoty Polyolefins (GAP) uzyskało komplet zgód regulacyjnych i zbliża się do finalizacji, ale toczy się spór arbitrażowy z LyondellBasell dotyczący zobowiązań z umowy joint-venture powiązanej z tą transakcją.
- Struktura bilansu pozostaje konserwatywna (dług netto/kapitał własny ~0,12x, płynność bieżąca 1,35x) mimo wzrostu zadłużenia, a Grupa zdywersyfikowała finansowanie o zieloną emisję obligacji 750 mln EUR po dniu bilansowym.
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Financials
BETA
PKN · H1 2026
| Metric | H1 2026 | H1 2025 | Δ YoY | YTD 2026 | Δ YoY | Value type | Segment | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 152,240 | 174,483 | −12.7% | 152,240 | −12.7% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Gross profit | 36,791 | 22,212 | +65.6% | 36,791 | +65.6% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA | 28,726 | 24,200 | +18.7% | 28,726 | +18.7% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT | 22,180 | 5,959 | +272.2% | 22,180 | +272.2% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT | 21,500 | -6,293 | +441.6% | 21,500 | +441.6% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income | 15,759 | -7,918 | +299% | 15,759 | +299% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (basic) (PLN) | 13.57 | -6.82 | — | 13.57 | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (diluted) (PLN) | 13.57 | -6.82 | — | 13.57 | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| D&A | 6,546 | 4,651 | +40.7% | 6,546 | +40.7% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Interest expense | 1,843 | 783 | +135.4% | 1,843 | +135.4% | reported | — | 0.85 |
| Shares (basic) (m units) | 1,160.94 | 1,160.94 | — | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Shares (diluted) (m units) | 1,160.94 | 1,160.94 | — | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Gross margin | 24.17% | 12.73% | +11.4 pp | 24.17% | +11.4 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin | 18.87% | 9040000% | −9039981.1 pp | 18.87% | −9039981.1 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin | 14.57% | 3720000% | −3719985.4 pp | 14.57% | −3719985.4 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBT margin | 14.12% | 3370000% | −3369985.9 pp | 14.12% | −3369985.9 pp | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net margin | 10.35% | 940000% | −939989.7 pp | 10.35% | −939989.7 pp | derived | — | 1.00 |
| D&A margin | 4.3% | 5320000% | −5319995.7 pp | 4.3% | −5319995.7 pp | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Cash | 22,693 | 20,129 | +12.7% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total debt | 40,742 | 25,164 | +61.9% | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Net debt | 18,049 | -1,411 | +1379.2% | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Equity | 148,002 | 125,417 | +18% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total assets | 280,645 | 194,065 | +44.6% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Working capital | 23,516 | 14,411 | +63.2% | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Current assets | 90,331 | 57,676 | +56.6% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current liabilities | 66,815 | 43,265 | +54.4% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Goodwill | 7,903 | — | — | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Tangible equity | 140,099 | — | — | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| CFO | 23,680 | 20,067 | +18% | 23,680 | +18% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CapEx | 13,823 | 10,120 | +36.6% | 13,823 | +36.6% | reported | — | 0.95 |
| FCF | 9,857 | 9,947 | −0.9% | 9,857 | −0.9% | derived | — | 0.90 |
| FCF conversion | 34.31% | 93.75% | −59.4 pp | 34.31% | −59.4 pp | derived | — | 0.85 |
| CFO conversion | 82.44% | 189.19% | −106.8 pp | 82.44% | −106.8 pp | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Dividends paid | 9,288 | 6,966 | +33.3% | 9,288 | +33.3% | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current ratio | 1.35x | 1300000x | −1299998.65x | — | — | derived | — | 0.95 |
| Quick ratio | 0.98x | 1000000x | −999999.02x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Cash ratio | 0.34x | 440000x | −439999.66x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Debt / equity | 0.28x | 180000x | −179999.72x | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Debt / assets | 0.15x | 90000x | −89999.85x | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Net debt / equity | 0.12x | -10000x | +10000.12x | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.24% | -9180000% | — | 13.24% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA growth (YoY) | 72.17% | 2020000% | — | 72.17% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT growth (YoY) | 125.25% | 2580000% | — | 125.25% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income growth (YoY) | 182.05% | -10440000% | — | 182.05% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 182.12% | -10290000% | — | 182.12% | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| FCF growth (YoY) | -24.76% | 320.55% | — | -24.76% | — | reported | — | 0.85 |
| Gross margin Δ (YoY) | 7.35 pp | 0 pp | — | 7.35 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin Δ (YoY) | 6.46 pp | 0.99 pp | — | 6.46 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin Δ (YoY) | 7.24 pp | 0.42 pp | — | 7.24 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net margin Δ (YoY) | 6.19 pp | -0.01 pp | — | 6.19 pp | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
H1 2026 · Δ YoY
Revenue
152,240
−12.7%
152,240
−12.7%
- H1 2025
- 174,483
- YTD 2026
- 152,240
- Δ YoY
- −12.7%
Gross profit
36,791
+65.6%
36,791
+65.6%
- H1 2025
- 22,212
- YTD 2026
- 36,791
- Δ YoY
- +65.6%
EBITDA
28,726
+18.7%
28,726
+18.7%
- H1 2025
- 24,200
- YTD 2026
- 28,726
- Δ YoY
- +18.7%
EBIT
22,180
+272.2%
22,180
+272.2%
- H1 2025
- 5,959
- YTD 2026
- 22,180
- Δ YoY
- +272.2%
EBT
21,500
+441.6%
21,500
+441.6%
- H1 2025
- -6,293
- YTD 2026
- 21,500
- Δ YoY
- +441.6%
Net income
15,759
+299%
15,759
+299%
- H1 2025
- -7,918
- YTD 2026
- 15,759
- Δ YoY
- +299%
EPS (basic)
(PLN)
13.57
—
13.57
—
- H1 2025
- -6.82
- YTD 2026
- 13.57
- Δ YoY
- —
EPS (diluted)
(PLN)
13.57
—
13.57
—
- H1 2025
- -6.82
- YTD 2026
- 13.57
- Δ YoY
- —
D&A
6,546
+40.7%
6,546
+40.7%
- H1 2025
- 4,651
- YTD 2026
- 6,546
- Δ YoY
- +40.7%
Interest expense
1,843
+135.4%
1,843
+135.4%
- H1 2025
- 783
- YTD 2026
- 1,843
- Δ YoY
- +135.4%
Shares (basic)
(m units)
1,160.94
—
1,160.94
—
- H1 2025
- 1,160.94
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Shares (diluted)
(m units)
1,160.94
—
1,160.94
—
- H1 2025
- 1,160.94
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Gross margin
24.17%
+11.4 pp
24.17%
+11.4 pp
- H1 2025
- 12.73%
- YTD 2026
- 24.17%
- Δ YoY
- +11.4 pp
EBITDA margin
18.87%
−9039981.1 pp
18.87%
−9039981.1 pp
- H1 2025
- 9040000%
- YTD 2026
- 18.87%
- Δ YoY
- −9039981.1 pp
EBIT margin
14.57%
−3719985.4 pp
14.57%
−3719985.4 pp
- H1 2025
- 3720000%
- YTD 2026
- 14.57%
- Δ YoY
- −3719985.4 pp
EBT margin
14.12%
−3369985.9 pp
14.12%
−3369985.9 pp
- H1 2025
- 3370000%
- YTD 2026
- 14.12%
- Δ YoY
- −3369985.9 pp
Net margin
10.35%
−939989.7 pp
10.35%
−939989.7 pp
- H1 2025
- 940000%
- YTD 2026
- 10.35%
- Δ YoY
- −939989.7 pp
D&A margin
4.3%
−5319995.7 pp
4.3%
−5319995.7 pp
- H1 2025
- 5320000%
- YTD 2026
- 4.3%
- Δ YoY
- −5319995.7 pp
Cash
22,693
+12.7%
22,693
+12.7%
- H1 2025
- 20,129
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Total debt
40,742
+61.9%
40,742
+61.9%
- H1 2025
- 25,164
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt
18,049
+1379.2%
18,049
+1379.2%
- H1 2025
- -1,411
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Equity
148,002
+18%
148,002
+18%
- H1 2025
- 125,417
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Total assets
280,645
+44.6%
280,645
+44.6%
- H1 2025
- 194,065
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Working capital
23,516
+63.2%
23,516
+63.2%
- H1 2025
- 14,411
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Current assets
90,331
+56.6%
90,331
+56.6%
- H1 2025
- 57,676
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Current liabilities
66,815
+54.4%
66,815
+54.4%
- H1 2025
- 43,265
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Goodwill
7,903
—
7,903
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Tangible equity
140,099
—
140,099
—
- H1 2025
- —
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
CFO
23,680
+18%
23,680
+18%
- H1 2025
- 20,067
- YTD 2026
- 23,680
- Δ YoY
- +18%
CapEx
13,823
+36.6%
13,823
+36.6%
- H1 2025
- 10,120
- YTD 2026
- 13,823
- Δ YoY
- +36.6%
FCF
9,857
−0.9%
9,857
−0.9%
- H1 2025
- 9,947
- YTD 2026
- 9,857
- Δ YoY
- −0.9%
FCF conversion
34.31%
−59.4 pp
34.31%
−59.4 pp
- H1 2025
- 93.75%
- YTD 2026
- 34.31%
- Δ YoY
- −59.4 pp
CFO conversion
82.44%
−106.8 pp
82.44%
−106.8 pp
- H1 2025
- 189.19%
- YTD 2026
- 82.44%
- Δ YoY
- −106.8 pp
Dividends paid
9,288
+33.3%
9,288
+33.3%
- H1 2025
- 6,966
- YTD 2026
- 9,288
- Δ YoY
- +33.3%
Current ratio
1.35x
−1299998.65x
1.35x
−1299998.65x
- H1 2025
- 1300000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Quick ratio
0.98x
−999999.02x
0.98x
−999999.02x
- H1 2025
- 1000000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Cash ratio
0.34x
−439999.66x
0.34x
−439999.66x
- H1 2025
- 440000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Debt / equity
0.28x
−179999.72x
0.28x
−179999.72x
- H1 2025
- 180000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Debt / assets
0.15x
−89999.85x
0.15x
−89999.85x
- H1 2025
- 90000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Net debt / equity
0.12x
+10000.12x
0.12x
+10000.12x
- H1 2025
- -10000x
- YTD 2026
- —
- Δ YoY
- —
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.24%
—
13.24%
—
- H1 2025
- -9180000%
- YTD 2026
- 13.24%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA growth (YoY)
72.17%
—
72.17%
—
- H1 2025
- 2020000%
- YTD 2026
- 72.17%
- Δ YoY
- —
EBIT growth (YoY)
125.25%
—
125.25%
—
- H1 2025
- 2580000%
- YTD 2026
- 125.25%
- Δ YoY
- —
Net income growth (YoY)
182.05%
—
182.05%
—
- H1 2025
- -10440000%
- YTD 2026
- 182.05%
- Δ YoY
- —
EPS growth (YoY)
182.12%
—
182.12%
—
- H1 2025
- -10290000%
- YTD 2026
- 182.12%
- Δ YoY
- —
FCF growth (YoY)
-24.76%
—
-24.76%
—
- H1 2025
- 320.55%
- YTD 2026
- -24.76%
- Δ YoY
- —
Gross margin Δ (YoY)
7.35 pp
—
7.35 pp
—
- H1 2025
- 0 pp
- YTD 2026
- 7.35 pp
- Δ YoY
- —
EBITDA margin Δ (YoY)
6.46 pp
—
6.46 pp
—
- H1 2025
- 0.99 pp
- YTD 2026
- 6.46 pp
- Δ YoY
- —
EBIT margin Δ (YoY)
7.24 pp
—
7.24 pp
—
- H1 2025
- 0.42 pp
- YTD 2026
- 7.24 pp
- Δ YoY
- —
Net margin Δ (YoY)
6.19 pp
—
6.19 pp
—
- H1 2025
- -0.01 pp
- YTD 2026
- 6.19 pp
- Δ YoY
- —