FY 2025 report
Strata netto -7 918 mln PLN to w całości efekt ok. 20 mld PLN niegotówkowych odpisów (14 311 mln PLN na udziały w jednostkach zależnych + ok. 5 612 mln PLN netto na własne aktywa trwałe Downstream/Upstream&Supply) — działalność operacyjna pozostała rentowna (EBIT +5 959 mln PLN).
Sentiment
Neutral
No guidance change
PKN
FY 2025 report
Revenue
174.48 bn PLN
— YoY
Net income
-7.92 bn PLN
— YoY
EBITDA
24.2 bn PLN
— YoY
Gross margin
12.73%
— YoY
Summary
Investment thesis
- Przepływy operacyjne wzrosły do 20 067 mln PLN (+55,7% r/r), a FCF do 9 947 mln PLN (+320,6% r/r) — jakość gotówkowa wyniku wyraźnie lepsza niż sugerowałaby księgowa strata.
- Dług netto stał się ujemny (-656 mln PLN) po raz pierwszy od lat, mimo wypłaty 6 966 mln PLN dywidendy w trakcie roku — bilans odciążony dzięki emisji obligacji (9 508 mln PLN) i silnemu OCF.
- Pozabilansowa ekspozycja: 13 314 mln PLN gwarancji i poręczeń dla spółek zależnych, w tym dla dwóch z nich (Upstream Norway, Trading Switzerland) objętych w tym samym roku odpisem wartości udziałów.
- Rekomendacja Zarządu ws. dywidendy za 2025 rok nie była gotowa na dzień zatwierdzenia sprawozdania — nowa polityka gwarantuje minimum 4,50 PLN/akcję rosnące o 0,15 PLN rocznie, co przy stracie netto rodzi pytanie o źródło pokrycia wypłaty.
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Financials
BETA
PKN · FY 2025
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | Δ YoY | Value type | Segment | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 174,483 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Gross profit | 22,212 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA | 24,200 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT | 5,959 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT | -6,293 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income | -7,918 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (basic) (PLN) | -6.82 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (diluted) (PLN) | -6.82 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| D&A | 4,651 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Interest expense | 783 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Income tax | 1,625 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Shares (basic) (m units) | 1,160.94 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Shares (diluted) (m units) | 1,160.94 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Gross margin | 12.73% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBITDA margin | 9.04% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin | 3.72% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT margin | 3.37% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net margin | 0.94% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| D&A margin | 5.32% | — | — | reported | — | 0.85 |
| Cash | 20,129 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total debt | 25,164 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Net debt | -1,411 | — | — | reported | — | 0.95 |
| Equity | 125,417 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total assets | 194,065 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Working capital | 14,411 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Current assets | 57,676 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current liabilities | 43,265 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Non-current liabilities | 25,383 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Inventory | 10,727 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Trade receivables | 12,651 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Trade payables | 12,913 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CFO | 20,067 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CapEx | 10,120 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| FCF | 9,947 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| FCF conversion | 93.75% | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| CFO conversion | 189.19% | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Dividends paid | 6,966 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| ROE | 1.8% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| ROA | 1% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| ROIC | 2.06% | — | — | reported | — | 0.50 |
| ROCE | 4.86% | — | — | reported | — | 0.80 |
| Current ratio | 1.3x | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Quick ratio | 1x | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Cash ratio | 0.44x | — | — | reported | — | 0.85 |
| Interest coverage | 6.78x | — | — | reported | — | 0.50 |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.06x | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Debt / equity | 0.18x | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Debt / assets | 0.09x | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Net debt / equity | -0.01x | — | — | reported | — | 0.95 |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -9.18% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA growth (YoY) | 2.02% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT growth (YoY) | 2.58% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income growth (YoY) | -10.44% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -10.29% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| FCF growth (YoY) | 320.55% | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| Gross margin Δ (YoY) | 2.58 pp | — | — | derived | — | 0.85 |
| EBITDA margin Δ (YoY) | 0.99 pp | — | — | reported | — | 0.95 |
| EBIT margin Δ (YoY) | 0.42 pp | — | — | reported | — | 0.95 |
| Net margin Δ (YoY) | -0.01 pp | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
FY 2025 · Δ YoY
Revenue
174,483
—
174,483
—
- FY 2024
- —
Gross profit
22,212
—
22,212
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA
24,200
—
24,200
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT
5,959
—
5,959
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBT
-6,293
—
-6,293
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net income
-7,918
—
-7,918
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS (basic)
(PLN)
-6.82
—
-6.82
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS (diluted)
(PLN)
-6.82
—
-6.82
—
- FY 2024
- —
D&A
4,651
—
4,651
—
- FY 2024
- —
Interest expense
783
—
783
—
- FY 2024
- —
Income tax
1,625
—
1,625
—
- FY 2024
- —
Shares (basic)
(m units)
1,160.94
—
1,160.94
—
- FY 2024
- —
Shares (diluted)
(m units)
1,160.94
—
1,160.94
—
- FY 2024
- —
Gross margin
12.73%
—
12.73%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA margin
9.04%
—
9.04%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT margin
3.72%
—
3.72%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBT margin
3.37%
—
3.37%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net margin
0.94%
—
0.94%
—
- FY 2024
- —
D&A margin
5.32%
—
5.32%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Cash
20,129
—
20,129
—
- FY 2024
- —
Total debt
25,164
—
25,164
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt
-1,411
—
-1,411
—
- FY 2024
- —
Equity
125,417
—
125,417
—
- FY 2024
- —
Total assets
194,065
—
194,065
—
- FY 2024
- —
Working capital
14,411
—
14,411
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current assets
57,676
—
57,676
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current liabilities
43,265
—
43,265
—
- FY 2024
- —
Non-current liabilities
25,383
—
25,383
—
- FY 2024
- —
Inventory
10,727
—
10,727
—
- FY 2024
- —
Trade receivables
12,651
—
12,651
—
- FY 2024
- —
Trade payables
12,913
—
12,913
—
- FY 2024
- —
CFO
20,067
—
20,067
—
- FY 2024
- —
CapEx
10,120
—
10,120
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF
9,947
—
9,947
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF conversion
93.75%
—
93.75%
—
- FY 2024
- —
CFO conversion
189.19%
—
189.19%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Dividends paid
6,966
—
6,966
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROE
1.8%
—
1.8%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROA
1%
—
1%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROIC
2.06%
—
2.06%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROCE
4.86%
—
4.86%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current ratio
1.3x
—
1.3x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Quick ratio
1x
—
1x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Cash ratio
0.44x
—
0.44x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Interest coverage
6.78x
—
6.78x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.06x
—
-0.06x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Debt / equity
0.18x
—
0.18x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Debt / assets
0.09x
—
0.09x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt / equity
-0.01x
—
-0.01x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Revenue growth (YoY)
-9.18%
—
-9.18%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA growth (YoY)
2.02%
—
2.02%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT growth (YoY)
2.58%
—
2.58%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net income growth (YoY)
-10.44%
—
-10.44%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS growth (YoY)
-10.29%
—
-10.29%
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF growth (YoY)
320.55%
—
320.55%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Gross margin Δ (YoY)
2.58 pp
—
2.58 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA margin Δ (YoY)
0.99 pp
—
0.99 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT margin Δ (YoY)
0.42 pp
—
0.42 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net margin Δ (YoY)
-0.01 pp
—
-0.01 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —