FY 2025 report
Rekordowy rok 2025: przychody 2 386 mln zł (+50% r/r), EBITDA 499 mln zł (+137%), zysk netto 357 mln zł (+190%) — efekt dźwigni operacyjnej przy seryjnej realizacji kontraktów na lokomotywy i EZT.
Sentiment
Positive
No guidance change
NWG
FY 2025 report
Revenue
2.39 bn PLN
— YoY
Net income
356.54 m PLN
— YoY
EBITDA
498.66 m PLN
— YoY
Gross margin
28.4%
— YoY
Summary
Investment thesis
- Bilans przeszedł z lekkiego zadłużenia do gotówki netto: 577 mln zł środków przy 117 mln zł długu oprocentowanego (dług netto/EBITDA −0,9x), a CFO wyniósł 473 mln zł wobec −11 mln zł rok wcześniej.
- Portfel zamówień ciągle rośnie (m.in. III umowa wykonawcza z Małopolską 311 mln zł, opcja Śląska do 1,19 mld zł łącznie, CEMET 85 mln zł) i daje widoczność dostaw do 2028–2029 r.
- Marża brutto 28,4% (+7,3 pp) wynika po części z korzystnego kursu EUR/PLN względem kursów budżetowych w kontraktach — czynnik niepowtarzalny i zewnętrzny, który może się odwrócić.
- Wycena po kursie 94,30 zł (C/Z ok. 12x, C/WK ok. 3,7x, EV/EBITDA ok. 7,6x) zakłada utrzymanie rekordowej rentowności; ryzykiem pozostają koncentracja na PKP (34%) i województwach oraz postępowania reputacyjne (UOKiK, sprawa ingerencji w oprogramowanie).
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Financials
BETA
NWG · FY 2025
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | Δ YoY | Value type | Segment | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,386.42 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Gross profit | 677.85 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA | 498.66 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT | 440.6 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT | 431.73 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income | 356.54 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (basic) (PLN) | 7.92 | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| D&A | 58.06 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Income tax | 75.19 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Shares (basic) (m units) | 45 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Gross margin | 28.4% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin | 20.9% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin | 18.46% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBT margin | 18.09% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Net margin | 14.94% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| D&A margin | 2.43% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Cash | 576.61 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total debt | 117.26 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Net debt | -459.36 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Equity | 1,147.1 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total assets | 2,105.15 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Working capital | 705.5 | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Current assets | 1,548.51 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current liabilities | 843.01 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Non-current liabilities | 115.04 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Inventory | 720.36 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Trade receivables | 251.36 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Trade payables | 667.81 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| Goodwill | 33.66 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Tangible equity | 1,113.44 | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| CFO | 472.94 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CapEx | 51.7 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| FCF | 421.24 | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| FCF conversion | 84.5% | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| CFO conversion | 94.84% | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Dividends paid | 90 | — | — | reported | — | 0.90 |
| ROE | 35.16% | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| ROA | 18.58% | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| ROIC | 52.9% | — | — | derived | — | 0.60 |
| ROCE | 34.91% | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Current ratio | 1.84x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Quick ratio | 0.98x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Cash ratio | 0.68x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.92x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Debt / equity | 0.1x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Debt / assets | 0.06x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Net debt / equity | -0.4x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 50.1% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA growth (YoY) | 136.6% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT growth (YoY) | 174.7% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Net income growth (YoY) | 190.5% | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Gross margin Δ (YoY) | 7.28 pp | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin Δ (YoY) | 7.63 pp | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT margin Δ (YoY) | 8.37 pp | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Net margin Δ (YoY) | 7.22 pp | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Market cap | 4,243.5 | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| Enterprise value | 3,784.1 | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| P/E | 11.9x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.59x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| P/BV | 3.7x | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
| FCF yield | 9.93% | — | — | derived | — | 0.70 |
FY 2025 · Δ YoY
Revenue
2,386.42
—
2,386.42
—
- FY 2024
- —
Gross profit
677.85
—
677.85
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA
498.66
—
498.66
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT
440.6
—
440.6
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBT
431.73
—
431.73
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net income
356.54
—
356.54
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS (basic)
(PLN)
7.92
—
7.92
—
- FY 2024
- —
D&A
58.06
—
58.06
—
- FY 2024
- —
Income tax
75.19
—
75.19
—
- FY 2024
- —
Shares (basic)
(m units)
45
—
45
—
- FY 2024
- —
Gross margin
28.4%
—
28.4%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA margin
20.9%
—
20.9%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT margin
18.46%
—
18.46%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBT margin
18.09%
—
18.09%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net margin
14.94%
—
14.94%
—
- FY 2024
- —
D&A margin
2.43%
—
2.43%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Cash
576.61
—
576.61
—
- FY 2024
- —
Total debt
117.26
—
117.26
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt
-459.36
—
-459.36
—
- FY 2024
- —
Equity
1,147.1
—
1,147.1
—
- FY 2024
- —
Total assets
2,105.15
—
2,105.15
—
- FY 2024
- —
Working capital
705.5
—
705.5
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current assets
1,548.51
—
1,548.51
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current liabilities
843.01
—
843.01
—
- FY 2024
- —
Non-current liabilities
115.04
—
115.04
—
- FY 2024
- —
Inventory
720.36
—
720.36
—
- FY 2024
- —
Trade receivables
251.36
—
251.36
—
- FY 2024
- —
Trade payables
667.81
—
667.81
—
- FY 2024
- —
Goodwill
33.66
—
33.66
—
- FY 2024
- —
Tangible equity
1,113.44
—
1,113.44
—
- FY 2024
- —
CFO
472.94
—
472.94
—
- FY 2024
- —
CapEx
51.7
—
51.7
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF
421.24
—
421.24
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF conversion
84.5%
—
84.5%
—
- FY 2024
- —
CFO conversion
94.84%
—
94.84%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Dividends paid
90
—
90
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROE
35.16%
—
35.16%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROA
18.58%
—
18.58%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROIC
52.9%
—
52.9%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROCE
34.91%
—
34.91%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current ratio
1.84x
—
1.84x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Quick ratio
0.98x
—
0.98x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Cash ratio
0.68x
—
0.68x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.92x
—
-0.92x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Debt / equity
0.1x
—
0.1x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Debt / assets
0.06x
—
0.06x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt / equity
-0.4x
—
-0.4x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Revenue growth (YoY)
50.1%
—
50.1%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA growth (YoY)
136.6%
—
136.6%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT growth (YoY)
174.7%
—
174.7%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net income growth (YoY)
190.5%
—
190.5%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Gross margin Δ (YoY)
7.28 pp
—
7.28 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA margin Δ (YoY)
7.63 pp
—
7.63 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT margin Δ (YoY)
8.37 pp
—
8.37 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net margin Δ (YoY)
7.22 pp
—
7.22 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
Market cap
4,243.5
—
4,243.5
—
- FY 2024
- —
Enterprise value
3,784.1
—
3,784.1
—
- FY 2024
- —
P/E
11.9x
—
11.9x
—
- FY 2024
- —
EV / EBITDA
7.59x
—
7.59x
—
- FY 2024
- —
P/BV
3.7x
—
3.7x
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF yield
9.93%
—
9.93%
—
- FY 2024
- —