FY 2025 report
Grupa ČEZ utrzymała EBITDA na poziomie 137,0 mld CZK (−0,3% r/r) mimo spadku cen energii, głównie dzięki dystrybucji (+13,2 mld CZK, w tym GasNet) i sprzedaży (+3,7 mld CZK), które skompensowały wytwarzanie (−15,7 mld CZK).
Sentiment
Cautious
No guidance change
CEZ
FY 2025 report
Revenue
333.39 bn CZK
— YoY
Net income
28.11 bn CZK
— YoY
EBITDA
137.04 bn CZK
— YoY
Net debt / EBITDA
1.56x
— YoY
Summary
Investment thesis
- Zysk netto (28,1 mld CZK dla akcjonariuszy) jest pod silnym ciężarem podatku: efektywna stawka 59% (64% rok wcześniej) wskutek podatku od nadmiarowych zysków (windfall tax), który dla spółki matki daje łączną stawkę 73%.
- Jakość gotówki słabnie: OCF spadł o 48% do 64,2 mld CZK (rok wcześniej pomagały rozliczenia instrumentów pochodnych), a CAPEX gotówkowy 62,7 mld CZK pochłonął niemal cały OCF — FCF to zaledwie 1,5 mld CZK, przy dywidendzie 25,2 mld CZK finansowanej długiem.
- Dług netto rośnie do 213,9 mld CZK (1,56× EBITDA, cel spółki: maks. 3,5×); do tego 219,7 mld CZK rezerw (w tym nuklearne i likwidacyjne), które są zobowiązaniem quasi-dłużnym.
- Prognoza na 2026 r. to wyraźne pogorszenie: EBITDA 103–108 mld CZK (−29 do −34 mld), skorygowany zysk netto 27–31 mld CZK, CAPEX 82,5 mld CZK — luka FCF będzie jeszcze większa.
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Financials
BETA
CEZ · FY 2025
| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | Δ YoY | Value type | Segment | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 333,388 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA | 137,038 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBIT | 80,145 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBT | 66,894 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net income | 28,107 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (basic) (CZK) | 52.4 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EPS (diluted) (CZK) | 52.4 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| D&A | 56,494 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Interest expense | 7,768 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Income tax | 39,496 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Shares (basic) (m units) | 536.81 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| EBITDA margin | 41.1% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBIT margin | 24.04% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBT margin | 20.06% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net margin | 8.43% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| D&A margin | 16.95% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Cash | 17,208 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total debt | 248,698 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net debt | 213,929 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Equity | 249,945 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Total assets | 864,614 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Working capital | 28,940 | — | — | derived | — | 1.00 |
| Current assets | 206,725 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Current liabilities | 177,785 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Non-current liabilities | 436,884 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Inventory | 22,610 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Trade receivables | 51,381 | — | — | reported | — | 0.80 |
| Trade payables | 48,926 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Goodwill | 34,359 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Tangible equity | 215,586 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| CFO | 64,193 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| CapEx | 62,716 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| FCF | 1,477 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| FCF conversion | 1.08% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| CFO conversion | 46.84% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Dividends paid | 25,195 | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Net acquisitions | 3,253 | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| ROE | 11.7% | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| ROCE | 11.67% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Current ratio | 1.16x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Quick ratio | 1.04x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Cash ratio | 0.1x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Interest coverage | 10.32x | — | — | derived | — | 0.80 |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.56x | — | — | reported | — | 1.00 |
| Debt / equity | 1x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Debt / assets | 0.29x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net debt / equity | 0.86x | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -3.28% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBITDA growth (YoY) | -0.31% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBIT growth (YoY) | -12.63% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net income growth (YoY) | -3.62% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -3.5% | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBITDA margin Δ (YoY) | 1.22 pp | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| EBIT margin Δ (YoY) | -2.57 pp | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
| Net margin Δ (YoY) | -0.03 pp | — | — | derived | — | 0.90 |
FY 2025 · Δ YoY
Revenue
333,388
—
333,388
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA
137,038
—
137,038
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT
80,145
—
80,145
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBT
66,894
—
66,894
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net income
28,107
—
28,107
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS (basic)
(CZK)
52.4
—
52.4
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS (diluted)
(CZK)
52.4
—
52.4
—
- FY 2024
- —
D&A
56,494
—
56,494
—
- FY 2024
- —
Interest expense
7,768
—
7,768
—
- FY 2024
- —
Income tax
39,496
—
39,496
—
- FY 2024
- —
Shares (basic)
(m units)
536.81
—
536.81
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA margin
41.1%
—
41.1%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT margin
24.04%
—
24.04%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBT margin
20.06%
—
20.06%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net margin
8.43%
—
8.43%
—
- FY 2024
- —
D&A margin
16.95%
—
16.95%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Cash
17,208
—
17,208
—
- FY 2024
- —
Total debt
248,698
—
248,698
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt
213,929
—
213,929
—
- FY 2024
- —
Equity
249,945
—
249,945
—
- FY 2024
- —
Total assets
864,614
—
864,614
—
- FY 2024
- —
Working capital
28,940
—
28,940
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current assets
206,725
—
206,725
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current liabilities
177,785
—
177,785
—
- FY 2024
- —
Non-current liabilities
436,884
—
436,884
—
- FY 2024
- —
Inventory
22,610
—
22,610
—
- FY 2024
- —
Trade receivables
51,381
—
51,381
—
- FY 2024
- —
Trade payables
48,926
—
48,926
—
- FY 2024
- —
Goodwill
34,359
—
34,359
—
- FY 2024
- —
Tangible equity
215,586
—
215,586
—
- FY 2024
- —
CFO
64,193
—
64,193
—
- FY 2024
- —
CapEx
62,716
—
62,716
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF
1,477
—
1,477
—
- FY 2024
- —
FCF conversion
1.08%
—
1.08%
—
- FY 2024
- —
CFO conversion
46.84%
—
46.84%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Dividends paid
25,195
—
25,195
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net acquisitions
3,253
—
3,253
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROE
11.7%
—
11.7%
—
- FY 2024
- —
ROCE
11.67%
—
11.67%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Current ratio
1.16x
—
1.16x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Quick ratio
1.04x
—
1.04x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Cash ratio
0.1x
—
0.1x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Interest coverage
10.32x
—
10.32x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt / EBITDA
1.56x
—
1.56x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Debt / equity
1x
—
1x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Debt / assets
0.29x
—
0.29x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net debt / equity
0.86x
—
0.86x
—
- FY 2024
- —
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.28%
—
-3.28%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA growth (YoY)
-0.31%
—
-0.31%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT growth (YoY)
-12.63%
—
-12.63%
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net income growth (YoY)
-3.62%
—
-3.62%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EPS growth (YoY)
-3.5%
—
-3.5%
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBITDA margin Δ (YoY)
1.22 pp
—
1.22 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
EBIT margin Δ (YoY)
-2.57 pp
—
-2.57 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —
Net margin Δ (YoY)
-0.03 pp
—
-0.03 pp
—
- FY 2024
- —